NQ: After the Bell 07/28/2025
The market tested 23580 during the session, rejecting after aggressive buying failed to extend. Short-term bullish, but watch 23580 for failed breakout risk.
Market session review Monday Game Plan Tuesday:
📊 Nasdaq Futures Report
📆 Monday: July 28, 2025
🕓 Analysis Window: (18:00 → 17:00 ET) + higher timeframe structure
💡 Focus: Order intensity, intraday structure, and directional bias
🔍 Narrative Summary
Monday’s RTH session opened with a tight consolidation in the upper 23400s before resolving upward into a series of high-volume tests above 23500. The sharpest order flow spike occurred between 09:45 and 10:15 ET, with over 25K accumulated orders printing around 23510 before sellers reversed the move.
The midday session saw a rotation back down into the 23460–23480 demand shelf, printing another cluster of absorption before a secondary rally developed late session, closing near the 23530s.
Volume was concentrated heavily during the NY open through the first two hours, suggesting strong institutional participation. Structure remains bullish short-term with constructive pullbacks, though price is nearing the top of a multi-day range.
📈 Bias: Bullish intraday structure holding higher lows
📉 Next session bias: Watch for potential failed breakout above 23580 if NY lacks follow-through.
📌 Note: Red Folder Economic Events:
| Event | Date | Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|
| Goods Trade Balance | 07/29/2025 | 08:30 |
| Jolts Job Openings | 07/29/2025 | 10:00 |
🔮 Tuesday - Next Session Game Plan
📈 Base Case – Responsive Range
Open Inside 23480–23540
→ Expect fades from 23570–23580 into 23490–23510 zone
→ Price likely oscillates around 23500–23520 as magnet zone
📉 Breakdown Risk
Loss of 23460
→ Clears Demand/support
→ Exposes 23420 → 23360 → 23320 → 23280
⚠️ 23400 (4H) = Trend demand zone or structural inflection
→ Watch for volume confirmation — avoid chasing into low-liquidity zones
🚀 Breakout Scenario
Sustained acceptance above 23580
→ Clears Supply/resistance
→ Opens path toward 23620 → 23680 → 23740 → 23820
⚠️ 23580 (1H) = Trend supply zone or structural inflection
→ Watch for volume confirmation — avoid chasing into low-liquidity zones
🧊 Key Heatmap Observations
🔹 23510 → 29,448 @ 07/28 09:45 – Initiative buying spike at breakout level
🔹 23520 → 24,867 @ 07/28 10:00 – Follow-through absorption, top of session impulse
🔹 23490 → 26,972 @ 07/28 09:30 – Strong volume at initial breakout level
🔹 23460 → 15,341 @ 07/28 11:15 – Absorption during midday pullback
🔧 Price Clusters by Timeframe
| Timeframe | Price Levels | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 15min | 23490–23520 | NY open breakout and response cluster |
| 30min | 23490–23520 | Layered effort over multiple prints |
| 1H | 23500 | Strong initiative continuation level |
| 4H | 23400–23500 | Key demand shelf with prior reactions |
| 1D | 22900, 23000 | Macro shelf from early July |
| 2D | 22950 | Longer-term composite support, mean-reversion anchor |
📈 Stay objective. Trade your plan with context.