NQ: At the Bell 07/21/2025
07/21/2025: The market tested supply near 23310 overnight, then rejected back to 23240. Neutral to bearish bias unless 23310 is reclaimed.
Market briefing for the Monday RTH open:
๐ Nasdaq Futures Report
๐ Monday Open: July 21, 2025 @ 09:30 ET
๐ Analysis Window: Overnight Globex (18:00 โ 09:00 ET) + higher timeframe structure
๐ก Focus: Order intensity, intraday structure, and directional bias
๐ Narrative Summary
Overnight trade climbed steadily from the 23220 zone toward a peak near 23310 before pulling back sharply just before the RTH open. Key supply engagement printed near 23300โ23310, followed by aggressive liquidation back toward 23240.
The initial response at 23220 (prior demand cluster) was strong, and buyers managed to squeeze above Fridayโs highs before losing momentum.
Bias into the session is neutral to bearish unless buyers reclaim 23290โ23310 with conviction.
๐ Note: No Red Folder Events today
๐ฎ Monday Game Plan
๐ Base Case โ Responsive Range
Open Inside 23240โ23290
โ Expect fades from 23290โ23310 into 23240
โ Price likely oscillates around 23260โ23280 (magnet zone)
๐ Breakdown Risk
Loss of 23220 / 23200
โ Clears Demand/support
โ Exposes 23160 โ 23120 โ 23060 โ 23000
โ ๏ธ 23000 (4H) = Trend demand zone or structural inflection
โ Watch for volume confirmation โ avoid chasing into low-liquidity zones
๐ Breakout Scenario
Sustained acceptance above 23310
โ Clears Supply/resistance
โ Opens path toward 23340 โ 23375 โ 23420 โ 23480
โ ๏ธ 23375 (proj) = Trend supply zone or structural inflection
โ Watch for volume confirmation โ avoid chasing into low-liquidity zones
๐ง Key Heatmap Observations
๐น 23300 โ 5156 @ 07/21 04:00 โ Heavy supply response at overnight highs
๐น 23290 โ 3643 @ 07/21 04:15 โ Absorption after high print, exhaustion evident
๐น 23240 โ 3155 @ 07/20 18:30 โ Initial lift zone for buyers
๐น 23220 โ 5534 @ 07/20 18:00 โ First significant cluster, demand-driven move initiated
๐ง Price Clusters by Timeframe
Timeframe | Price Levels | Notes |
---|---|---|
15min | 23220, 23240, 23300, 23290 | Minor reaction zones and intraday liquidity pivots |
30min | 23220, 23295 | Consolidation shelf and upper fade zone |
1H | 23280, 23220, 23200 | HVNs and intraday inflection supports |
4H | 23000, 23250, 23200 | Supply/resistance clustering and trend inflection |
1D | 22900, 23000 | Composite supports near last week's lows |
2D | 22950 | Longer-term mean-reversion anchor zone |
๐ Stay objective. Trade your plan with context.