NQ: At the Bell 07/21/2025

07/21/2025: The market tested supply near 23310 overnight, then rejected back to 23240. Neutral to bearish bias unless 23310 is reclaimed.

Market briefing for the Monday RTH open:


๐Ÿ“Š Nasdaq Futures Report

๐Ÿ“† Monday Open: July 21, 2025 @ 09:30 ET
๐Ÿ•“ Analysis Window: Overnight Globex (18:00 โ†’ 09:00 ET) + higher timeframe structure
๐Ÿ’ก Focus: Order intensity, intraday structure, and directional bias


๐Ÿ” Narrative Summary

Overnight trade climbed steadily from the 23220 zone toward a peak near 23310 before pulling back sharply just before the RTH open. Key supply engagement printed near 23300โ€“23310, followed by aggressive liquidation back toward 23240.
The initial response at 23220 (prior demand cluster) was strong, and buyers managed to squeeze above Fridayโ€™s highs before losing momentum.
Bias into the session is neutral to bearish unless buyers reclaim 23290โ€“23310 with conviction.

๐Ÿ“Œ Note: No Red Folder Events today


Trading Intensity Chart


๐Ÿ”ฎ Monday Game Plan

๐Ÿ“ˆ Base Case โ€“ Responsive Range

Open Inside 23240โ€“23290
โ†’ Expect fades from 23290โ€“23310 into 23240
โ†’ Price likely oscillates around 23260โ€“23280 (magnet zone)

๐Ÿ“‰ Breakdown Risk

Loss of 23220 / 23200
โ†’ Clears Demand/support
โ†’ Exposes 23160 โ†’ 23120 โ†’ 23060 โ†’ 23000
โš ๏ธ 23000 (4H) = Trend demand zone or structural inflection
โ†’ Watch for volume confirmation โ€” avoid chasing into low-liquidity zones

๐Ÿš€ Breakout Scenario

Sustained acceptance above 23310
โ†’ Clears Supply/resistance
โ†’ Opens path toward 23340 โ†’ 23375 โ†’ 23420 โ†’ 23480
โš ๏ธ 23375 (proj) = Trend supply zone or structural inflection
โ†’ Watch for volume confirmation โ€” avoid chasing into low-liquidity zones


๐ŸงŠ Key Heatmap Observations

๐Ÿ”น 23300 โ†’ 5156 @ 07/21 04:00 โ€“ Heavy supply response at overnight highs
๐Ÿ”น 23290 โ†’ 3643 @ 07/21 04:15 โ€“ Absorption after high print, exhaustion evident
๐Ÿ”น 23240 โ†’ 3155 @ 07/20 18:30 โ€“ Initial lift zone for buyers
๐Ÿ”น 23220 โ†’ 5534 @ 07/20 18:00 โ€“ First significant cluster, demand-driven move initiated


๐Ÿ”ง Price Clusters by Timeframe

Timeframe Price Levels Notes
15min 23220, 23240, 23300, 23290 Minor reaction zones and intraday liquidity pivots
30min 23220, 23295 Consolidation shelf and upper fade zone
1H 23280, 23220, 23200 HVNs and intraday inflection supports
4H 23000, 23250, 23200 Supply/resistance clustering and trend inflection
1D 22900, 23000 Composite supports near last week's lows
2D 22950 Longer-term mean-reversion anchor zone

๐Ÿ“ˆ Stay objective. Trade your plan with context.