NQ: At the Bell 08/14/2025
The market slipped through 23860 overnight into 23820 demand, sellers showing strength. Bias leans bearish unless 23900 is reclaimed.
Market briefing for the Thursday RTH open:
📊 Nasdaq Futures Report
📆 Thursday Open: August 14, 2025 @ 09:30 ET
🕓 Analysis Window: Overnight Globex (18:00 → 09:00 ET) + higher timeframe structure
💡 Focus: Order intensity, intraday structure, and directional bias
🔍 Narrative Summary
Overnight trade saw price holding near 23920–23960 until early morning selling pushed through 23860, with heavy intensity clustering between 23820–23840.
Prior day’s bias leaned bullish from 23800, but sellers reclaimed control into the early morning.
Today's session opens with downside momentum but sits just above deeper demand zones from earlier in the week — key battle likely between 23820 support and 23900 resistance.
📌 Note: Red Folder Economic Events:
| Event | Date | Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|
| PPI | 08/14/2025 | 08:30 |
| Jobless Claims | 08/14/2025 | 08:30 |
🔮 Thursday Game Plan
📈 Base Case – Responsive Range
Open Inside 23820–23900
→ Expect fades from 23900 into 23840–23820
→ Price likely oscillates around 23860 magnet zone
📉 Breakdown Risk
Loss of 23820
→ Clears Demand/support
→ Exposes 23750 → 23725 → 23680 → 23640
⚠️ 23725 (4H) = Trend demand zone or structural inflection
→ Watch for volume confirmation — avoid chasing into low-liquidity zones
🚀 Breakout Scenario
Sustained acceptance above 23900
→ Clears Supply/resistance
→ Opens path toward 23925 → 23940 → 23960 → 24000
⚠️ 23925 (4H) = Trend supply zone or structural inflection
→ Watch for volume confirmation — avoid chasing into low-liquidity zones
🧊 Key Heatmap Observations
🔹 23820 → 9,349 @ 08/14 08:30 – Aggressive absorption attempt ahead of support break
🔹 23830 → 6,852 @ 08/14 08:30 – Sellers leaning heavy into pre-market weakness
🔹 23840 → 9,387 @ 08/14 08:45 – Short-term bounce fade zone ahead of open
🔹 23860 → 8,581 @ 08/14 08:30 – Failed hold led to cascade toward 23820
🔧 Price Clusters by Timeframe
| Timeframe | Price Levels | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 15min | 23860, 23840, 23830, 23820 | Globex intensity zone, key pre-open test levels |
| 30min | 23865, 23850, 23835 | Intraday HVNs around Globex high and breakdown pivot |
| 1H | 24040, 24000, 23960, 23940 | Upper supply band from prior session |
| 4H | 23750, 23725, 23925 | Major supply/demand shelves |
| 1D | 23200, 23400, 23500 | Macro composite demand zones |
| 2D | 22050, 22950, 23550 | Long-term demand zones and mean-reversion areas |
📈 Stay objective. Trade your plan with context.