NQ: At the Bell 08/19/2025

Market briefing for the Tuesday RTH open:

📊 Nasdaq Futures Report

📆 Tuesday Open: August 19, 2025 @ 09:30 ET
🕓 Analysis Window: Overnight Globex (18:00 → 09:00 ET) + higher timeframe structure
💡 Focus: Order intensity, intraday structure, and directional bias

🔍 Narrative Summary

Overnight trade extended the prior session’s weakness, with sellers pressing into 23760–23770 support after multiple failed recovery attempts. The heaviest order flow concentrated between 23800–23760, marking this as the primary battleground. Responsive bids have held that shelf but with diminishing conviction, leaving the bias tilted bearish into the Tuesday open unless price can reclaim 23800 with sustained order flow.

📌 Note: Red Folder Economic Events:

🔮 Tuesday Game Plan

📈 Base Case – Responsive Range

Open Inside 23760–23800
→ Expect responsive fades from 23800 back into 23770–23760
→ Price likely oscillates around the 23775–23780 magnet zone

📉 Breakdown Risk

Loss of 23760
→ Clears demand shelf
→ Exposes: 23740 → 23720 → 23680 → 23650
⚠️ 23760 (30m/1H) = Trend demand zone and structural inflection
→ Watch for volume confirmation — avoid chasing into thin liquidity

🚀 Breakout Scenario

Sustained acceptance above 23800
→ Clears supply pressure
→ Opens path toward: 23830 → 23860 → 23900 → 23940
⚠️ 23860 (90m/4H) = Trend supply zone and structural inflection
→ Watch for volume confirmation — avoid chasing into exhaustion prints

🧊 Key Heatmap Observations

🔹 23760 → 3645 @ 08/19 07:30 – Heavy sell pressure defended the shelf, absorption noted
🔹 23780 → 4039 @ 08/19 06:00 – Responsive buy flow attempted but failed to hold above 23800
🔹 23770 → 3724 @ 08/18 20:30 – Initial breakdown test, strong sell wave entered
🔹 23830 → 4177 @ 08/18 18:00 – Globex high, aggressive selling met early buyers

🔧 Price Clusters by Timeframe

📈 Stay objective. Trade your plan with context.