NQ: Weekly Prep 27/2025

MNQ surged through 22800 overnight, showing signs of exhaustion at highs. Responsive demand remains strong with 22600 as key support. Watching for breakout continuation or mean-reversion setup.

๐Ÿ“Š MNQ Report


๐Ÿ“† Analysis Week of 26/2025
๐Ÿ•“ Game Plan Week of 27/2025
๐Ÿ’กFocus Order accumulation, intraday structure, and directional bias


๐Ÿ” Narrative Summary

The MNQ advanced steadily through the week, grinding higher with moderate pullbacks, closing near highs into Fridayโ€™s early afternoon session. Notably, aggressive accumulation began building from 22300 on 6/24 and stair-stepped through 22420, 22560, and ultimately into 22800. Friday morning showed a climax of volume at 22800 before retracing slightly. Responsive buying at each 20โ€“40 point dip hinted at persistent demand flow.

Key breakout levels like 22425 and 22500 became springboards, especially after consolidation on 6/25โ€“6/26. The Friday session offered a sharp final push and potential short-term exhaustion signals above 22800.

๐Ÿ“Œ *Note: This upcoming week includes the July 4th holiday with early closes on 7/3 and 7/4.
๐Ÿ“Œ *Note: Red Folder Economic Events Scheduled Next Week:

  • Fed Chair Powell Speech โ€“ July 1 @ 09:30 ET
  • S&P PMI โ€“ July 1 @ 09:45 ET
  • ISM PMI โ€“ July 1 @ 10:00 ET
  • JOLTS โ€“ July 1 @ 14:00 ET
  • ADP Employment Change โ€“ July 2 @ 08:15 ET
  • NFP (June), Unemployment Claims โ€“ July 3 @ 08:30 ET
  • Final PMI โ€“ July 3 @ 09:45 and 10:00 ET

Trading Intensity Chart


๐Ÿ”ฎ Next Week (27/2025) Game Plan

๐Ÿ“ˆ Base Case โ€“ Responsive Range

Open Inside 22560โ€“22720 zone
โ†’ Expect fades from 22800 or 22780 into 22600โ€“22560 support
โ†’ Price likely oscillates around 22690โ€“22720 magnet zone

๐Ÿ“‰ Breakdown Risk

Sustained loss below 22560
โ†’ Clears Demand/support
โ†’ Exposes 22420 โ†’ 22300 โ†’ 22050
โš ๏ธ 22425 (4H) = Trend demand zone or structural inflection
โ†’ Watch for volume confirmation โ€” avoid chasing into low-liquidity zones

๐Ÿš€ Breakout Scenario

Sustained acceptance above 22800
โ†’ Clears Supply/resistance
โ†’ Opens path toward 22920 โ†’ 23000 โ†’ 23180
โš ๏ธ 22800 (1H) = Trend supply zone or structural inflection
โ†’ Watch for volume confirmation โ€” avoid chasing into low-liquidity zones


๐ŸงŠ Key Heatmap Observations

๐Ÿ”น 22300 โ†’ 115,594 @ 06/24 09:00 โ€“ Strong demand response and buildup initiated trend week
๐Ÿ”น 22500 โ†’ 189,238 @ 06/25 08:00 โ€“ Key level rotation zone before breakout continuation
๐Ÿ”น 22560 โ†’ 84,917 @ 06/26 09:00 โ€“ Support confirmed during session dip
๐Ÿ”น 22800 โ†’ 92,149 @ 06/27 10:00 โ€“ Friday morning volume climax into short-term exhaustion
๐Ÿ”น 22720 โ†’ 55,375 @ 06/27 09:00 โ€“ Pinned resistance became support by session close


๐Ÿ”ง Price Clusters by Timeframe

Timeframe Price Levels Notes
15min 22720โ€“22810 Friday session intraday rejection/fade zones
30min 22725โ€“22800 Short-term breakout zone tested and absorbed
1H 22560โ€“22800 Intraday HVN and final exhaustion points
4H 22300โ€“22500 Strong trending shelf formed over midweek
1D 21900โ€“22100 Weekly composite demand zone, macro context
2D 21600โ€“22050 High-volume base and structural support

๐Ÿ“ˆ Stay objective. Trade your plan with context.